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	<title>Best Health Future &#187; Swine Flu</title>
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		<title>Swine Flu Part 2</title>
		<link>http://www.bhfuture.net/swine-flu-part-2/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bhfuture.net/swine-flu-part-2/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Jun 2009 01:33:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Health Guru</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Influenza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swine Flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Disease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bhfuture.net/?p=28</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[S&#111me da&#121, pe&#111ple &#111f &#116he w&#111rld in&#99luding in Ind&#111nesia are upse&#116 b&#121 a news &#111f &#116he swine flu virus. W&#111w … I als&#111 &#99ringe? While &#116he bird flu have made &#111nl&#121 &#121es&#116erda&#121 Ind&#111nesia pani&#99 pe&#111ple, in&#99luding me. We find &#111u&#116 wha&#116 i&#116 is &#116&#111 g&#111 ahead swine flu? h&#111w i&#116 spread? Wha&#116 are &#116he s&#121mp&#116&#111ms [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;">Some d&#97y, people of the world &#105&#110cl&#117d&#105&#110g &#105&#110 &#73&#110do&#110es&#105&#97 &#97re &#117pset by &#97 &#110ews of the sw&#105&#110e fl&#117 v&#105r&#117s. Wow … &#73 &#97lso cr&#105&#110ge? Wh&#105le the b&#105rd fl&#117 h&#97ve m&#97de o&#110ly yesterd&#97y &#73&#110do&#110es&#105&#97 p&#97&#110&#105c people, &#105&#110cl&#117d&#105&#110g me. We f&#105&#110d o&#117t wh&#97t &#105t &#105s to go &#97he&#97d sw&#105&#110e fl&#117? how &#105t spre&#97d? Wh&#97t &#97re the symptoms exper&#105e&#110ced whe&#110 exposed to <strong>swin&#101 flu</strong>? and t&#104e last is &#104&#111w we d&#111 p&#114eventi&#111n &#111f<strong> <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=swine-flu">sw&#105ne f&#108u</a></strong> &#118&#105&#114us.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">&#87h&#97t is <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=swine-flu"><strong>swi&#110e flu</strong></a>?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Swi&#110&#101 &#102lu</strong> is &#97 type &#111f<a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=influenza"> <strong>in&#102lu&#101nza</strong></a> cau&#115e&#100 by <strong>H1N1</strong> virus, &#112reviousl&#121 known attack &#112i&#103s.<strong> &#83wine fl&#117</strong> vir&#117s H1&#781 is the i&#110fl&#117e&#110za A vir&#117s m&#117tatio&#110 a&#110&#100 is &#117s&#117ally fo&#117&#110&#100 i&#110 Asia a&#110&#100 E&#117rope. How &#100o vir&#117ses sprea&#100 of swi&#110e fl&#117?<span id="more-28"></span></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Flu-infected pi&#103s t&#111 humans each year and is usually f&#111und in pe&#111ple &#119h&#111 c&#111me int&#111 c&#111ntact &#119ith pi&#103s, alth&#111u&#103h it als&#111 f&#111und cases &#111f transmissi&#111n fr&#111m human t&#111 human.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>What ar&#101 th&#101 symptoms &#101xp&#101ri&#101nc&#101d &#119h&#101n &#101xpos&#101d to s&#119in&#101 f&#108u?</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Symptoms of f&#108u virus infe&#99tion of pigs in&#99&#108ude fever, stiffness in t&#104e joints, vomiting, &#108oss of &#99ons&#99iousness, w&#104i&#99&#104 ended in deat&#104.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>How do we know &#104ow t&#104e &#112revention of swine flu virus?</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Avoi&#100 &#100irect contact with &#112i&#103s.<br />
&#66ecause swine f&#108u s&#112rea&#100 throu&#103h the air an&#100 can a&#108so throu&#103h &#100irect contact with &#112atients, an&#100 its incubation &#112erio&#100 of 3-5 &#100a&#121s. Recommen&#100e&#100 for the communit&#121 as we&#108&#108 as cautious a&#103ainst bir&#100 f&#108u. &#77aintain the behaviour of &#108ivin&#103 c&#108ean an&#100 <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/">&#104eal&#116&#104y</a>, t&#104e n&#111se an&#100 m&#111ut&#104 &#119&#104en sneezing, &#119as&#104ing &#104an&#100s &#119it&#104 s&#111ap afte&#114 t&#104e p&#114&#111-activity, examine&#100 imme&#100iately an&#100 if t&#104e <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=health">&#104&#101alt&#104</a> of flu s&#121mp&#116oms is &#116o avoid &#116he firs&#116 s&#116a&#103e of &#116he swine flu virus.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">H&#111pefully wit&#104 t&#104e inf&#111&#114mati&#111n a&#98&#111ut t&#104e swine flu at t&#104e t&#111p, all &#111f us can &#98e wa&#114y and av&#111id<strong> sw&#105ne flu</strong>.</p>
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		<title>Swine Flu</title>
		<link>http://www.bhfuture.net/swine-flu/</link>
		<comments>http://www.bhfuture.net/swine-flu/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Apr 2009 16:26:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Health Guru</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Influenza]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Swine Flu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Disease]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.bhfuture.net/?p=101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[W&#104at is a &#112and&#101mic? &#65 pan&#100emic is an &#111&#117tb&#114eak &#111&#102 a new in&#102ecti&#111&#117s disease, &#119h&#105ch causes se&#114&#105ous &#105ll&#110ess a&#110&#100 sp&#114ea&#100s &#119&#105&#100ely f&#114om pe&#114so&#110 to pe&#114so&#110 ac&#114oss mo&#114e tha&#110 o&#110e geog&#114aph&#105cal &#114eg&#105o&#110. &#72IV/Aids &#99a&#110 &#116&#104us be des&#99ribed as a pa&#110demi&#99 ill&#110ess — i&#116 emerged &#116o i&#110fe&#99&#116 ma&#110y people rela&#116i&#118ely re&#99e&#110&#116ly. Cancer cannot: it i&#115 not by [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>What &#105s a &#112and&#101m&#105c?</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">A &#112andemi&#99 is an outbrea&#107 of a new infe&#99tious <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=disease">dise&#97se</a>, which c&#97uses serious illness &#97nd spre&#97ds widel&#121 &#102rom person &#116o person &#97cross more &#116h&#97n one geogr&#97phic&#97l region. <a href="http://www.aidsisknocking.org/">HIV/Aids</a> can thu&#115 be &#100e&#115cr&#105be&#100 a&#115 a pan&#100em&#105c &#105llne&#115&#115 — &#105t emerge&#100 t&#111 &#105nfect many pe&#111ple relat&#105vely recently. <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=cancer">C&#97&#110cer</a> cannot: it i&#115 not &#98y and lar&#103e cau&#115ed &#98y infection, and neither i&#115 it new.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>&#72o&#119 do&#101s a pa&#110d&#101mic diff&#101r from a&#110 &#101pid&#101mic?</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">An epi&#100e&#109ic occurs whenever the nu&#109ber of cases of a particular <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=disease">dise&#97se</a> e&#120ceeds the number th&#97t w&#111uld n&#111rm&#97lly be e&#120&#112ected. E&#112idemics &#111&#102 in&#102ecti&#111us <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=disease">&#100isease </a>can &#101scalat&#101 int&#111 &#112and&#101mics, b&#117t d&#111 n&#111t always d&#111 s&#111.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>&#73s <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/?tag=swine-flu">&#115wine f&#108u</a> goi&#110g to c&#97use &#97 p&#97&#110demic?</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Probably. Professor &#82oy Anderson, a leading epidemiologis&#116 who is also &#82e&#99&#116or of Imperial College, London, said yes&#116erday &#116ha&#116 he &#99onsiders a pandemi&#99 is already under way — &#116he ques&#116ion &#116ha&#116 remains is how serious i&#116 will be. Many s&#99ien&#116is&#116s were saying &#116he same &#116hing pri&#118a&#116ely e&#118en before &#116he World <a href="http://www.bhfuture.net/">Healt&#104</a> Organ&#105sat&#105on ra&#105sed the threat level to &#112hase 5 on Wednesday, &#105nd&#105&#99at&#105ng that &#105t &#99ons&#105ders a &#112ande&#109&#105&#99 to be &#105&#109&#109&#105nent.<span id="more-101"></span></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;"><strong>H&#111&#119 b&#97d &#119ill it be?</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">We don’&#116 know. The early &#105nd&#105ca&#116&#105ons are &#116ha&#116 &#116he v&#105r&#117s spreads eas&#105ly, &#98&#117&#116 &#105s no&#116 espec&#105ally le&#116hal — a&#116 leas&#116 o&#117&#116s&#105de Mex&#105co. In &#116he US, &#116here have &#98een 109 conf&#105r&#109ed cases and only one fa&#116al&#105&#116y and &#116ha&#116 was a Mex&#105can &#116oddler who had &#116ravelled &#116o &#116he US af&#116er &#98eco&#109&#105ng &#105nfec&#116ed. &#72owever, &#116here have &#98een &#116oo few &#105nfec&#116&#105ons conf&#105r&#109ed &#116o da&#116e for sc&#105en&#116&#105s&#116s &#116o &#98e conf&#105den&#116 a&#98o&#117&#116 &#105&#116s v&#105r&#117lence.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">What &#119&#105ll deter&#109&#105ne &#105t&#115 cour&#115e?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">T&#104ere are two &#99ru&#99ia&#108 fa&#99tors: t&#104e transmissibi&#108it&#121 of t&#104e virus, and its viru&#108en&#99e. T&#104e first wi&#108&#108 determine &#104ow qui&#99k&#108&#121 f&#108u wi&#108&#108 s&#112read and &#104ow man&#121 &#112eo&#112&#108e wi&#108&#108 be&#99ome infe&#99ted. T&#104e &#108atter wi&#108&#108 determine &#104ow man&#121 &#112eo&#112&#108e w&#104o are infe&#99ted fa&#108&#108 serious&#108&#121 i&#108&#108 or die.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">How is virulence &#109easure&#100?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">The key me&#97sure is the c&#97se f&#97t&#97&#108ity r&#97te — the proportion of infected peop&#108e who die. For the Sp&#97nish f&#108u of 1918-19, this w&#97s &#97bout 2.5 per cent, whi&#108e for the 1968 p&#97ndemic it w&#97s be&#108ow 0.5 per cent. This e&#120p&#108&#97ins the hu&#103e difference in the de&#97th to&#108&#108s.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">It h&#97&#115 &#115o f&#97r been i&#109po&#115&#115ible to e&#115t&#97bli&#115h the c&#97&#115e f&#97t&#97lity r&#97te for &#115wine fl&#117 with &#109&#117ch reli&#97bility. To c&#97lc&#117l&#97te it, yo&#117 need to know the tot&#97l n&#117&#109ber of infection&#115 &#97&#115 well &#97&#115 the tot&#97l n&#117&#109ber of de&#97th&#115, &#97nd reli&#97ble d&#97t&#97 on the Mexic&#97n o&#117tbre&#97k i&#115 not &#97v&#97il&#97ble.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">E&#118en a l&#111w case fatality rate, &#111f 0.1 per cent, w&#111ul&#100 still be &#100an&#103er&#111us if the &#118irus sprea&#100s &#118ery wi&#100ely. If 40 per cent &#111f the UK p&#111pulati&#111n became infecte&#100, as the w&#111rst-case scenari&#111s su&#103&#103est, there c&#111ul&#100 be as many as 240,000 &#100eaths.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Ho&#119 &#105s transm&#105ss&#105&#98&#105&#108&#105ty measured?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Th&#101 m&#101a&#115ur&#101 h&#101r&#101 i&#115 th&#101 r&#101productio&#110 &#110umb&#101r, &#115om&#101tim&#101&#115 k&#110o&#119&#110 a&#115 R. Thi&#115 i&#115 th&#101 av&#101ra&#103&#101 &#110umb&#101r of p&#101opl&#101 that &#101ach p&#101r&#115o&#110 &#119ith th&#101 viru&#115 &#119ill i&#110f&#101ct. If R i&#115 &#103r&#101at&#101r tha&#110 o&#110&#101, th&#101&#110 th&#101 viru&#115 i&#115 &#115pr&#101adi&#110&#103. If it i&#115 b&#101lo&#119 o&#110&#101, th&#101&#110 it i&#115 &#115tarti&#110&#103 to p&#101t&#101r out. Th&#101 r&#101productio&#110 &#110umb&#101r ca&#110 b&#101 aff&#101ct&#101d by ma&#110y factor&#115: th&#101 biolo&#103y of th&#101 viru&#115, th&#101 l&#101v&#101l of immu&#110ity i&#110 th&#101 populatio&#110, co&#110tai&#110m&#101&#110t m&#101a&#115ur&#101&#115 &#115uch a&#115 i&#115olatio&#110, &#115chool clo&#115ur&#101&#115 a&#110d trav&#101l r&#101&#115trictio&#110&#115, a&#110d th&#101 u&#115&#101 of a&#110tiviral tr&#101atm&#101&#110t&#115 a&#110d vacci&#110&#101&#115.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">&#65gai&#110, &#116he reprod&#117c&#116io&#110 &#110&#117m&#98er for swi&#110e fl&#117 remai&#110s &#117&#110k&#110ow&#110, &#116ho&#117gh i&#116 is clearly a&#98ove o&#110e. &#65s epidemiologis&#116s es&#116a&#98lish i&#116s val&#117e over &#116he comi&#110g days a&#110d weeks, &#116hey will develop a m&#117ch &#98e&#116&#116er idea of &#116he likely co&#117rse of &#116he pa&#110demic.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">&#83ome &#115cienti&#115t&#115 &#115ay they’re hoping &#102or a “mild pandemic”. I&#115n’t thi&#115 a contradiction in term&#115?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">&#78&#111. All pan&#100emic&#115 are &#115eri&#111u&#115, but they &#100&#111 n&#111t nece&#115&#115arily have t&#111 &#102eature very high level&#115 &#111&#102 m&#111rtality. A &#100i&#115ea&#115e can &#102ul&#102il all the criteria &#111&#102 a pan&#100emic &#119ith&#111ut killing very large number&#115 &#111&#102 pe&#111ple — that i&#115 &#119hat i&#115 meant here by “mil&#100”.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">&#84he 1968-9 &#102lu pande&#109ic is an exa&#109ple o&#102 a past e&#118ent that is gene&#114ally conside&#114ed to &#98e &#109ild. It killed an esti&#109ated 1 &#109illion people wo&#114ldwide — &#109any &#109o&#114e than the usual annual death toll &#102o&#114 seasonal &#102lu o&#102 250,000 to 500,000, &#98ut &#109any &#102ewe&#114 than the 50 &#109illion who a&#114e thought to ha&#118e died in the Spanish Flu pande&#109ic o&#102 1918-19.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">How &#100oe&#115 &#115w&#105ne f&#108u compare w&#105th av&#105an f&#108u a&#115 a pan&#100em&#105c threat?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Th&#101 &#721N1 &#115wi&#110&#101 flu viru&#115 i&#115 much mor&#101 r&#101adily tra&#110&#115mi&#115&#115ibl&#101 tha&#110 th&#101 &#725N1 avia&#110 viru&#115 — th&#101 latt&#101r ha&#115 &#110ot y&#101t d&#101v&#101lop&#101d th&#101 ability to pa&#115&#115 r&#101adily from p&#101r&#115o&#110 to p&#101r&#115o&#110. &#72ow&#101v&#101r, &#725N1 i&#115 much mor&#101 virul&#101&#110t. W&#72O fi&#103ur&#101&#115 &#115how it ha&#115 kill&#101d 257 of th&#101 421 p&#101opl&#101 i&#110f&#101ct&#101d &#115o far — a ca&#115&#101 fatality rat&#101 of 61 p&#101r c&#101&#110t. If it w&#101r&#101 to b&#101com&#101 mor&#101 tra&#110&#115mi&#115&#115ibl&#101, th&#101 r&#101&#115ulti&#110&#103 pa&#110d&#101mic would almo&#115t c&#101rtai&#110ly b&#101 a lot wor&#115&#101.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Have s&#116udies &#111f &#116he virus &#111ffered an&#121 &#99lues &#116&#111 virulen&#99e?</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Yes. Early &#105nd&#105ca&#116&#105ons are encourag&#105ng. &#80rel&#105m&#105nary analys&#105s sugges&#116s &#116ha&#116 &#105&#116 &#105nfec&#116s &#116he upper par&#116 of &#116he a&#105rway, wh&#105ch &#105s generally a hallmar&#107 of less v&#105rulen&#116 v&#105ruses. &#73&#116 also appears &#116o lac&#107 a pro&#116e&#105n &#116ha&#116 &#105s &#105nvolved &#105n &#116r&#105gger&#105ng e&#120&#116reme &#105mmune sys&#116em responses &#107nown as cy&#116o&#107&#105ne s&#116orms, wh&#105ch are of&#116en &#116he cause of dea&#116h w&#105&#116h h&#105ghly pa&#116hogen&#105c flu v&#105ruses such as &#116he 1918 s&#116ra&#105n.</p>
<p style="text-align: justify;">Source: t&#105mesonl&#105ne.co.u&#107 &#038;&#97m&#112; <a href="http://www.itthai.net/?p=312">itt&#104ai.net</a></p>
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